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A U.S.-China policy expert explains goals amidst ongoing trade talks

GREG BAKER
/
AFP/Getty Images

Top officials from Washington and Beijing met in Stockholm, Sweden, for the latest in a series of ongoing trade talks, which will have big implications for the economies of both nations.

It follows President Trump's decision to extend a 90-day pause raising tariffs to at least 145% on Chinese goods back in April. The extended pause is currently set to expire on Friday.

U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports currently stand at 30% — and at least 10% for every other country in the world. The Trump administration is trying to negotiate individual trade deals with each country. And on Sunday, Trump met with the president of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen and reached a new trade deal with the European Union.

Elizabeth Economy, former senior adviser for China in the Department of Commerce under former President Joe Biden, told Morning Edition she doesn't expect a "breakthrough" between the U.S. and China this week, just "small progress."

Economy, the Hargrove Senior Fellow at Stanford University's Hoover Institution, explained what the U.S. and China want from one another and why it might take awhile for the two to strike a new trade deal.

The following exchange has been edited for length and clarity. 


Interview Highlights

A Martínez: So, Elizabeth, third round of talks between Washington and Beijing in the last few months. Are you expecting a breakthrough this week?

Elizabeth Economy: I don't think we're going to see a breakthrough. I think actually [U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer] has signaled that there's not going to be a breakthrough, and [U.S. Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent] has said, 'We're looking to extend this trade truce for another three months to continue negotiations.' So what I'm expecting is really just small progress, trying to establish the parameters of a deal that could be announced at a President Trump, President Xi summit in late October or early November, likely on the sidelines of the [Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation] leaders summit in Korea. President Trump has said he very much wants to meet with President Xi. So I would look for a trip to Beijing.

Martínez: What do they want from each other? Let's start with the U.S. What does the U.S. want from China?

Economy: I think the United States has two different types of asks that it's making of China. I think on the one hand, they want what we saw in the first Trump administration, the phase one trade deal, which is Chinese purchases of U.S. goods, agriculture like soybeans, corn, energy, planes [and] medical devices. I think they also, of course, want China, the Chinese government, to allow the sale of TikTok to a U.S. entity.And I think the second type of thing that they want is for China to change the way that it does business. I think they want the Chinese to stop exporting their overcapacity in areas like solar panels, and [Electric Vehicles] and batteries. And we'll see it coming in legacy semiconductors and new materials. So, this is a pattern. It has to do with the Chinese economic model. And the administration wants China to change its model. They want China to stop supporting Russia's war against Ukraine. They want China to stop buying Iranian oil. And they want China to open its market and to stop its protectionist measures. The second set of asks, I think, is much tougher.

Martínez: So what does China want?

Economy: China wants relaxation of export controls on U.S. technology, and it wants to be treated like other countries, like the U.S. treats other countries. So reduce the level of tariffs to the level that we just saw in the E.U., U.S. trade deal, change the sort of in-and-outbound investment restrictions that the U.S. has put specifically on China. And it wants the U.S. not to bother it about the nature of its economic model, which it considers to be quite successful overall.

Adapted and produced for web by Destinee Adams and edited by Treye Greene.

Copyright 2025 NPR

A Martínez is one of the hosts of Morning Edition and Up First. He came to NPR in 2021 and is based out of NPR West.